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The Iran War Is Already Tanking Luxury Sales in the Gulf—Could Art Be Next?

Escalating military conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran, which has included strikes on Gulf states, is disrupting the region's burgeoning art market. Major events like Art Dubai have been postponed and scaled back significantly due to exhibitor withdrawals, and planned fairs like Frieze Abu Dhabi face uncertainty. The instability has also caused a sharp spike in shipping and insurance costs for artworks moving through the region.

frieze abu dhabi fair announced 1234756413

Frieze, the London-based art fair organizer, announced it will launch Frieze Abu Dhabi in November 2026, partnering with the Department of Culture and Tourism – Abu Dhabi (DCT Abu Dhabi). The new fair will replace the existing Abu Dhabi Art fair, which has run since 2007, and will take place at Manarat Al Saadiyat in the Saadiyat Cultural District. The announcement follows Frieze's recent acquisition by Mari, a company founded by Ari Emanuel, and comes amid a wave of international art fair expansions in the Gulf region, including Art Basel's new fair in Doha.

abu dhabi to host most expensive art exhibition staged by sothebys in the middle east valued at 150 m 1234753618

Abu Dhabi will host the most expensive art exhibition ever staged by Sotheby's in the Middle East on October 1 and 2, valued at approximately $150 million. The exhibition features six masterpieces by Vincent van Gogh, Paul Gauguin, Frida Kahlo, René Magritte, Camille Pissarro, and Edvard Munch, sourced from major private collections including those of Leonard A. Lauder, Cindy and Jay Pritzker, and Matthew and Kay Bucksbaum. It takes place at the Bassam Freiha Art Foundation on Saadiyat Island Cultural District and marks Sotheby's first public fine art show in the UAE, ahead of its Abu Dhabi Collectors' Week in November.

In the bag: Sotheby’s inaugural Abu Dhabi Collectors’ Week finds success with Birkins and bling

Sotheby’s inaugural Collectors’ Week in Abu Dhabi (2-5 December) achieved a total of $133.4m across five live auctions held on a beachfront stage. The sale featured luxury items including a Hermès Birkin Voyageur owned by Jane Birkin ($2.9m), a 31.68-carat pink diamond called The Desert Rose ($8.8m), and a Patek Philippe watch set that became the second most valuable watch sold in Sotheby’s history ($11.9m). No art was offered, but the auction house sold 50 items privately, including the world’s largest fancy deep green diamond. The sell-through rate was strong, with only one piece of real estate and a couple of cars unsold, outperforming Sotheby’s earlier Saudi Arabia sale.

Christie's and Sotheby's end 2025 with increased sales, thanks to luxury goods, trophy lots and private deals

Christie's and Sotheby's both reported increased total projected revenue for 2025, reversing two years of market decline. Sotheby's led with $7bn in global sales (up 17%), boosted by a record $236.3m sale of Klimt's *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* and strong luxury sales. Christie's posted $6.2bn overall (up 6%), with private sales accounting for 24% of revenue and Old Masters rising 24% year-on-year. Both houses saw significant growth in the second half of 2025 and continued expansion in luxury categories, though Asian art and Asia Pacific buyer spending declined at Christie's.

Leaning on luxury goods, Sotheby's launches auction week in Abu Dhabi

Sotheby's will hold its first auction week in Abu Dhabi this December, partnering with the Abu Dhabi Investment Office (ADIO). The event, which includes auctions, exhibitions, and events from October through December, focuses on luxury goods such as cars, jewelry, and watches, targeting ultra-high net worth individuals. Highlights include the sale of the 31.86-carat 'Desert Rose' diamond and a 'Triple Crown' car collection in collaboration with McLaren Racing. The move follows ADQ's $1 billion minority stake in Sotheby's in October 2024.