2026 asian art market preview

Artnet Pro's 'The Asia Pivot' newsletter previews the 2026 Asian art market, highlighting a hopeful recovery after signs of improvement in late 2025. Key events include Art SG in Singapore (hosting S.E.A. Focus for the first time), the inaugural Art Basel Qatar in February, and Art Basel Hong Kong in March. Auction houses will align spring sales with these fairs. The article also notes regional shifts: South Korea's Art Asia partners with KINTEX for a new fair in India, Hong Kong's Kwai Fung Hin opens in Singapore, and Shanghai's Antenna Space expands to Hong Kong. Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi meets with artist Takashi Murakami to promote culture abroad, while geopolitical tensions with China threaten cultural exchanges.

kenny schachter 2026 predictions van gogh private sale

Kenny Schachter offers his predictions for the art world in 2026, set against a backdrop of political chaos and rapid AI development. He forecasts only a marginal uptick in global art sales, which he estimates will exceed $57.5 billion, and warns that luxury goods—bags, watches, fossils—are increasingly encroaching on art fairs, auctions, and exhibitions. Schachter criticizes Sotheby's for blurring the lines between auction house, museum, and gallery, citing its traveling "Icon" show as a spectacle of price tags rather than art scholarship.

Frieze New York shows signs of stability in challenging US art market

Frieze New York (7-11 May) opens its 13th edition at The Shed with around 65 galleries, including mega-galleries Gagosian, David Zwirner, Hauser & Wirth, Pace, and White Cube. The fair arrives amid a turbulent art market: global art sales declined 12% in 2024 per Clare McAndrew's Art Market Report, and President Trump's tariff decisions have roiled the stock market. Frieze's owner Endeavor recently sold the fair to a new company founded by former CEO Ari Emanuel. Despite this, US fair director Christine Messineo expresses optimism, citing strong sales at Frieze Los Angeles in February. The Focus section features 12 emerging galleries, seven of which are first-time participants, including King's Leap, Management, Voloshyn Gallery (Kyiv), and Public Gallery (London).

pace japan director tokyo interview

Kyoko Hattori, vice president of Pace Japan, expressed her desire for Tokyo to become the center of art in Asia in a recent interview with the Japan Times. This comes one month after the third edition of Tokyo Gendai art fair closed with solid but unspectacular sales. Pace, the only mega-gallery with a location in Tokyo, opened a space in the Azabudai Hills development, which has been seen as a signal of the city's arrival on the global art stage. The article notes cautiously optimistic data, with Japan seeing 2 percent growth in the art market last year while the wider market contracted by 12 percent, and competitors China and Korea saw significant drops.

art market report 2025 growth high end sales

The global art market returned to growth in 2025, reaching $59.6 billion in sales according to the latest Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report. This 4 percent increase ended a two-year decline, driven primarily by a 9 percent surge in public auction sales and a significant revival in high-value transactions for works priced over $10 million. While the United States maintained its dominant 44 percent market share, the recovery was uneven, with the Impressionist and Old Masters sectors seeing major gains while Postwar and Contemporary art continued to cool.

the view from paula tsai

Paula Tsai, a key figure in Asia's art market, discusses the evolving landscape of collecting in the region, focusing on mainland China and Korea. She notes a surge of new buyers from China, many of whom are young entrepreneurs, while the Korean market remains more mature and stable. Tsai addresses the impact of tariffs on importing art, particularly for Chinese collectors, but asserts that passionate collectors will continue to buy, adjusting timing rather than abandoning purchases. She also highlights the growing Thai market and the complexity of the Chinese market, where established collectors are cautious but new entrants keep activity high.

The Surreal Economics of the Contemporary-Art Market

A conceptual artwork titled "Comedian" by Maurizio Cattelan, consisting of a banana duct-taped to a wall, sold at auction for over $6 million to billionaire Justin Sun. This sale occurred amid widespread speculation that the contemporary-art market has peaked, with global art sales dropping 12% in 2024. However, a painting by Marlene Dumas defied the trend, fetching $13.6 million and setting a record for a living female artist. The article explores the bewildering economics of the art market, featuring insights from economist Canice Prendergast and journalist Bianca Bosker, who describe a market where prices seem divorced from traditional logic.

Valuing the Invisible Art Market

A new report from UBS and Art Basel, authored by Dr. Clare McAndrew, reveals that the global art market reached an estimated $67.8 billion in 2023, marking a 4% increase from the previous year. The growth was primarily driven by the high-end segment, with sales over $10 million rising by 11%, while the lower and middle markets experienced a decline.

Comment | The market grew in 2025 but ‘interest in art is waning’

The global art market saw a 4% growth in 2025 according to the latest Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report, yet the industry remains on edge. Despite the headline increase, the report reveals a sharp decline in the average number of buyers per gallery—reaching its lowest level since 2021—and rising operational costs for shipping and logistics. Protectionist trade policies and geopolitical instability, particularly escalating conflicts in the Middle East affecting oil prices, continue to strain the contemporary sector.

art basel qatar

Art Basel is expanding to the Middle East with a new fair in Doha, Qatar, set to launch in February 2026. The inaugural edition will feature around 50 galleries from local and international scenes, held across two venues: M7 and the Doha Design District. The fair is a partnership between Art Basel, Qatar Sports Investments (QSI), and QC+, a cultural commerce collective under Qatar Museums. A new artistic director will be announced soon, and the fair aims to scale up over time, with additional art activations in outdoor spaces like Msheireb Museums and Barahat Msheireb square.

Online-Only Art Auctions Overwhelmingly Succeed in 2025

A new report from Artnet reveals that online-only auctions at Sotheby’s, Christie’s, Phillips, Bonhams, and Artnet Auctions generated $423.9 million in 2025, an 8% increase from 2024. The average price of artworks sold online also rose 8.6% to $14,309, with some platforms like Fair Warning finding success through hyper-specific sales, such as one centered on Andy Warhol’s 1974 portrait of Brigitte Bardot. Christie’s reported that 63% of new buyers made their first purchase online in 2025, where the average price point was $22,700.

Early Basquiat to Lead Sotheby’s Contemporary Auctions -

Sotheby’s will offer a rare untitled 1981 painting by Jean-Michel Basquiat at its Contemporary Evening Auction in New York, estimated at $10–15 million. The work, unseen for 36 years, has been held in a private collection since 1989 and captures the raw energy of Basquiat’s breakout period. Other highlights include Lucio Fontana’s *Concetto spaziale, La Fine di Dio* (1963), Robert Rauschenberg’s *Combine Rigger* (1961), Frank Stella’s *Adelante* (1964), and Ed Ruscha’s *That Was Then This Is Now* (1989). The auction is built around three major private collections: the estate of gallerist Barbara Gladstone, the Roy Lichtenstein Foundation, and the “Im Spazio” group assembled by Daniella Luxembourg.

Indian art is having its breakout moment. Here's who's driving it

Three record-breaking auctions in New York and Mumbai have vaulted Indian modern art into global headlines. At Christie’s New York, M.F. Husain’s *Gram Yatra* sold for ₹118 crore, the highest price ever for an Indian artwork. Tyeb Mehta’s *Trussed Bull* fetched ₹61.8 crore at Saffronart’s Mumbai sale, nearly nine times its high estimate, while Jagdish Swaminathan’s *Homage to Solzhenitsyn* crossed ₹39 crore at Sotheby’s New York. Together, these sales raked in over ₹220 crore.

Independent art fair adjusts as market slows

The Independent art fair in New York, running until 11 May, features 85 exhibitors—its largest edition yet—with 26 solo debuts. Amid a slowing art market, galleries are adjusting pricing strategies, with a notable increase in works priced between $10,000 and $20,000, which now account for about one-third of offerings. Several galleries reported strong sales during the VIP preview, including Long Story Short selling six works by Keita Morimoto and Ricco Maresca Gallery selling out its vintage board game collection for a six-figure sum. Co-founder Elizabeth Dee noted that VIP registrations were up 30% year-over-year, and dealers like Charles Moffett deliberately chose established artists to match collector comfort levels.

art basel discounts new galleries 2025

Art Basel has introduced booth-fee discounts for first- and second-time exhibitors at its fairs, offering 20% off for first-year participants and 10% for second-year participants. The policy, confirmed by chief artistic officer Vincenzo de Bellis, has been in place since Art Basel Miami Beach in 2021 and applies to all Art Basel fairs in Switzerland, Hong Kong, and Miami Beach, with a new edition launching in Qatar. Starting in 2026, discounts will increase to 25% and 15% respectively.

Basquiat Work Expected To Fetch Up To $525M At Sotheby’s Auction

A recently discovered early painting by Jean-Michel Basquiat, created in 1981 when he was 20, will be sold at Sotheby’s Contemporary Evening Auction in New York on May 13. The untitled work, unseen publicly for over 30 years, carries an estimate of $10 million to $15 million. Sotheby’s chairman Grégoire Billault highlighted the piece as a highlight of the Modern Evening Auction, with exhibitions opening May 2 through May 15. The auction also features top lots from Lucio Fontana, Robert Rauschenberg, and the collections of Sally and Victor Ganz and Barbara Gladstone.

Basquiat masterpiece expected to fetch $15m at Sotheby’s auction

A rare, untitled 1981 Jean-Michel Basquiat painting, unseen for over three decades, will headline Sotheby’s Contemporary Evening Auction in New York this May, with an estimate of $10–15 million. The work, created when Basquiat was 20, captures his transition from street art to international fame and has been held in the same private collection since 1989. The auction also features pieces from Barbara Gladstone’s collection, the Roy Lichtenstein Foundation, and works by Lucio Fontana, Robert Rauschenberg, and Pablo Picasso.

Rory J Browne | Dawn, Cow Parsley (2026) | Available for Sale

British artist Rory J Browne has released a new contemporary realist landscape titled 'Dawn, Cow Parsley' (2026). The oil-on-canvas work, which features a detailed foreground of wild plants silhouetted against a warm, atmospheric sunrise, is currently being offered for sale through Signet Contemporary Art in London and via the Artsy platform.

art investing market trends art basel report

Art advisor Ralph DeLuca returns to his Street Smarts column to dissect the 2026 Art Basel & UBS Art Market Report. He notes that global art sales reached approximately $59.6 billion in 2025, a 4% increase after two down years, but cautions that the recovery is uneven—sales of artworks above $10 million rose 30%, while the middle market stagnates. The U.S. remains the dominant market, accounting for 44% of global sales, though tariff threats and political volatility continue to disrupt the trade.

Top-End Auction Sales Help Pull Global Art Market Out of Slump, Study Says

A new report from Art Basel and UBS reveals that the global art market grew by 7% in 2024, reaching an estimated $67.8 billion. This recovery was primarily driven by a surge in high-value sales at auction, particularly in the $10 million-plus segment, which saw a 42% increase in value. The United States retained its position as the world's largest art market, while the UK overtook China to reclaim second place.

The recovery of the art market, collecting trends, and other analyses in the newly published report

La ripresa del mercato dell’arte, i trend del collezionismo e altre analisi nel nuovo report appena pubblicato

The global art market has returned to growth in 2025, recording a 4% increase compared to the previous year despite geopolitical tensions and financial uncertainty. According to the fourth edition of the "Collectors and the Value of Art in Italy 2026" report by Intesa Sanpaolo Private Banking, buyers are increasingly shunning speculative assets like NFTs and ultra-contemporary art in favor of established categories. Significant growth was noted in Modern art, Impressionism, and Old Masters, signaling a flight to quality and historical stability.

Art Basel exhibitors will show ‘the most ambitious works’ despite economic headwinds

Art Basel will host nearly 290 galleries from around the world in Basel, Switzerland, from June 19-22, 2025. Director Maike Cruse expresses confidence in the art market's resilience despite a 12% decline in global art sales last year, citing an uptick in transactions in the middle and low market segments and a surge of new, younger collectors. The fair introduces a new section called Premiere, dedicated to ultra-contemporary works made within the past five years, featuring ten galleries and two first-time Art Basel participants. New EU tax breaks on art purchases, including Germany's VAT reduction from 19% to 7%, could boost sales for the roughly half of exhibitors based in the bloc, though the threat of US tariffs under President Donald Trump creates uncertainty.