Contemporary Art Market Declines For Fourth Straight Year, as Old Masters and Impressionist Works Rebound: Art Basel UBS Report

Contemporary Art Market Declines For Fourth Straight Year, as Old Masters and Impressionist Works Rebound: Art Basel UBS Report

The contemporary art market has declined for the fourth consecutive year, with auction sales for postwar and contemporary works falling to $4.5 billion in 2025 from a peak of $8.5 billion in 2021. Simultaneously, the market has seen a significant rebound in more established categories, with auction sales of Impressionist and Post-Impressionist works rising 47% and Old Masters climbing 30% last year.

SP-Arte underscores Latin America’s resilient rise amid global market recalibration

The 22nd edition of SP-Arte has opened at São Paulo’s Oscar Niemeyer-designed pavilion, featuring over 180 galleries and design studios. While global art markets face a period of recalibration, the Latin American sector—and Brazil in particular—is reporting significant growth, including a 21% year-on-year increase in sales for Brazilian dealers according to the latest Art Basel and UBS report.

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Art Basel 2025 opened in Basel, Switzerland, with nearly 300 leading galleries showcasing high-value artworks despite a turbulent art market. Major works include a Gerhard Richter abstraction (1987) at David Zwirner, priced around $30 million, a Ruth Asawa hanging sculpture sold for $9.5 million, and Picassos at Pace and Helly Nahmad Gallery, with the latter's *Femme nue couchée jouant avec un chat* (1964) listed at $28 million after fetching $21.2 million at auction two years ago. The fair runs through Sunday, offering rare opportunities to view and purchase blue-chip pieces.

Can a Play Capture an Artist as Enigmatic as Henry Darger?

Can a Play Capture an Artist as Enigmatic as Henry Darger?

A new play, *Bughouse*, is attempting to portray the life of reclusive artist Henry Darger on stage at New York's Vineyard Theater. The one-man show, starring John Kelly, draws from Darger's own lengthy autobiography to depict his traumatic childhood, institutionalization, and decades of solitary life in Chicago, where he secretly created his vast, fantastical artwork and writings.

Five Groundbreaking Postwar Women Artists Lead New York’s Fall Art Season

New York's fall art season features five major exhibitions dedicated to groundbreaking postwar women artists, timed with the November auctions. Shows include Louise Bourgeois at Hauser & Wirth, a Joan Mitchell focus at David Zwirner, and MoMA's long-awaited Ruth Asawa retrospective. The article cites the 2025 Art Basel and UBS Report showing women artist representation in galleries rose to 41% in 2024, with sales growth correlating to higher representation. Artnet data notes 13 women among the top 100 auction sellers in early 2025, up from 10 the prior year.

The Art Market Year in Review

The art market experienced a turbulent 2025, beginning with a 12% decline in sales from 2024, following a 3% drop in 2023, as reported by the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report. Major auction houses Christie’s, Sotheby’s, and Phillips saw average sales fall 6% in the first half of the year. However, the market rebounded by autumn, with strong sales at London and Paris art fairs and a 15% year-on-year increase in auction sales at the three main houses by December, according to Pi-eX. Key events included Sotheby’s failed sale of Alberto Giacometti’s *Grand tête mince* in May, followed by a record-breaking $236 million sale of Gustav Klimt’s *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* in November, and a $31.4 million record for François-Xavier Lalanne’s *Hippopotame Bar*.

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Christie’s spring marquee auctions in New York brought in a combined $489 million with fees across two evening sales: the Leonard & Louise Riggio: Collected Works sale and the 20th Century sale. The Riggio collection, featuring 39 works heavy on Surrealism, modernism, and Minimalism, achieved $272 million with buyer’s premium, led by Piet Mondrian’s Composition With Large Red Plane, Bluish Gray, Yellow, Black and Blue (1922) at $47.56 million and René Magritte’s L’empire des lumières (1949) at $34.9 million. The 20th Century sale included major canvases by Monet, Rothko, and Warhol, but the hammer total of $409 million fell below the $446 million pre-sale low estimate, indicating the auction house did not meet expectations.

Praise Shadows’s New Sales Director and Para Site Names Executive Director: Industry Moves for March 18, 2026

Several key personnel changes occurred in the art world this week. Boston gallery Praise Shadows hired Rebecca Hayes as its new Sales Director, while Hong Kong's Para Site appointed curator James Taylor-Foster as its Executive Director. Concurrently, galleries Lehmann Maupin and Jessica Silverman announced a co-representation agreement for artist Guimi You, and London's Timothy Taylor gallery revealed it will close its New York outpost after ten years.

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The article examines the paradox of rising art prices despite a contracting market. The global art trade shrank by 12% in 2024, according to the Art Basel/UBS Art Market report, and financial volatility from trade wars has further depressed conditions. Yet dealers resist lowering prices, fearing that doing so would signal decreased value. Collectors like Jeff Magid argue that entry-level prices—often tens of thousands of dollars—are shutting out new buyers, and artists sometimes must leave their galleries to restart at lower price points. The upcoming Frieze New York fair will test whether this pricing strategy holds.

Comment | Flourishing markets beyond the big three will benefit the art ecosystem—and the planet

The article analyzes the shifting dynamics of the global art market, reporting that regions outside the traditional 'big three' hubs of the US, UK, and China have increased their market share from 17% in 2015 to 24% in 2025. This shift is driven by nationally protective regulations like Brexit and tariffs, which have stifled the free circulation of contemporary art. While the US market remains dominant at 44%, countries such as South Korea, Switzerland, Japan, and Australia have seen growth, and emerging cultural energy is noted in places like Bangkok, Warsaw, Margate, and Qatar.

Online-Only Art Auctions Overwhelmingly Succeed in 2025

A new report from Artnet reveals that online-only auctions at Sotheby’s, Christie’s, Phillips, Bonhams, and Artnet Auctions generated $423.9 million in 2025, an 8% increase from 2024. The average price of artworks sold online also rose 8.6% to $14,309, with some platforms like Fair Warning finding success through hyper-specific sales, such as one centered on Andy Warhol’s 1974 portrait of Brigitte Bardot. Christie’s reported that 63% of new buyers made their first purchase online in 2025, where the average price point was $22,700.

Comment | Galleries are looking to merch to keep spirits up—it's a joyful move in challenging times

The article discusses how galleries are increasingly turning to merchandise and playful, low-cost art items to maintain public engagement during a downturn in the art market. It cites the example of Lucy Sparrow's hand-stitched felt fish and chip shop at Lyndsey Ingram gallery in London, which drew large crowds and media attention but generated far less revenue than traditional fine art sales. The piece notes that while the global art market fell 12% to $57.5bn in the past year, according to the Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report, galleries like Unit and Palmer are offering items such as Gavin Turk T-shirts and Andy Holden records to attract visitors.

How Blue-Chip Art Markets Are Opening Up to New Collectors

The contemporary art market in 2025 is experiencing a paradox: traditional indicators show cooling, but online sales are booming and attracting new, younger collectors. According to the Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report 2025, online sales now account for 22% of dealer transactions, with 46% of online sales in 2024 going to first-time buyers—up from 35% the previous year. High-net-worth individuals increasingly prefer purchasing through digital channels like dealer websites or Instagram, and established collectors are also buying sight unseen. This shift is driven by greater access to authenticated limited editions and prints by blue-chip artists such as Andy Warhol, Jean-Michel Basquiat, Banksy, David Hockney, and Damien Hirst, offered by galleries like Calder Contemporary in London with transparent pricing and provenance.

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The Art Basel & UBS Survey of Global Collecting 2025, authored by Clare McAndrew, surveyed 3,100 high-net-worth collectors across ten markets. It reveals that nearly three-quarters of respondents are Gen Z or Millennials, with Gen Z collectors allocating an average of 26% of their wealth to art—the highest of any age group. Female collectors outspent men by 46% in 2024 and the first half of 2025, and 51% of collectors purchased digital artworks. Direct purchases from artists surged to 63%, up from 27% two years earlier, with 35% buying via Instagram links.

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The Chinese art market experienced a 31% year-on-year decline in sales to $8.4 billion in 2024, its lowest level since 2009, according to the latest Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report. The downturn is attributed to slower economic growth, a property market slump, and broader economic uncertainties. However, other Asia Pacific markets showed resilience: Japan saw a 2% increase in sales, Australia's dealer market grew 11%, and China remains the second-largest auction market for postwar and contemporary art. Dealer sentiment is improving, with half expecting stronger sales in 2025.

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UBS's eleventh Billionaire Ambitions Report reveals that global billionaire wealth hit a record $15.8 trillion in 2025, with the number of billionaires rising 8.8% to nearly 3,000. The report, based on a survey of 87 ultra-wealthy clients, found that 27% plan to increase their investment in art and antiques, while 65% intend to maintain current levels—totaling 92% of respondents. Enthusiasm is strongest in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (35% planning increases), followed by Asia-Pacific (25%), and weakest in the Americas (15%).

Top-End Auction Sales Help Pull Global Art Market Out of Slump, Study Says

A new report from Art Basel and UBS reveals that the global art market grew by 7% in 2024, reaching an estimated $67.8 billion. This recovery was primarily driven by a surge in high-value sales at auction, particularly in the $10 million-plus segment, which saw a 42% increase in value. The United States retained its position as the world's largest art market, while the UK overtook China to reclaim second place.